https://udumbara.net/china-collects-44-billion-to-save-real-estate-developers-500000-presale-house-buyers-stop-mortgage-payments
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China Collects $44 Billion to Save Real Estate Developers, 500,000 Presale House Buyers Stop Mortgage Payments
China plans to collect up to 300 billion yuan (about $44.4 billion) to support real estate developers struggling to finish their projects, while over half a million buyers stopped mortgage payments on their unfinished homes in July.The fund is collected by Chinaâs State Council, financial information platform REDD reported on July 26. The China Construction Bank has contributed 50 billion yuan (about $7.4 billion) and Chinaâs central bankâthe Peopleâs Bank of China (PBOC)âmade an effort of 30 billion yuan (about $4.44 billion). The report didnât indicate which organizations will pay the rest.
However, the fund canât even fill the loop that the ârotten tail buildings,â or the unfinished presale houses created.
The Chinese regime allows real estate developers to presale apartments even when the buildings are only drawings. Buyers need to pay the whole price, which includes a down payment and mortgage after they sign the contract. The project becomes ârotten tail buildingsâ when the developer has halted construction for 12 months.
State-run Shanghai E-House Real Estate Research Institute reported on July 18 that there are about 900-billion-yuan (about $133 billion) in mortgages tied to the ârotten tail buildingsâ in China. Buyers started to refuse to pay mortgages in July.
A residential and commercial complex under construction in Nanning, in southern Chinaâs Guangxi region on Nov. 9, 2021. (STR/AFP via Getty Images)
By July 26, victims from 113 cities in 26 provinces listed 321 unfinished building projects on GitHub. Â They uploaded photos and statements to verify the authenticity of the claims. E-House calculated that there are 1,701 apartments in one project on average, which means about 550,000 buyers canât move into the homes they purchased.
E-House warned in its 2022 annual report that buyers of 3.85 percent of Chinaâs real estate projects might refuse to pay the mortgage because the presale homes they bought are ârotten tail buildings,â even though it means they will have a lowered social credit score.
The social credit system is a method the Chinese regime uses to control people. The regime doesnât allow a low score person to take public transportation or allow their children to go to public schools.
State Fund Wonât Solve the Issue: Banker
On top of the $44.4 billion state fund, local regimes in eastern Chinaâs Jiangxi, central Chinaâs Hunan, southwestern Chinaâs Yunan, northwestern Chinaâs Shaanxi, and southern Chinaâs Fujian provinces also launched local funds to help real estate developers, state-run Jiemian News reported on July 22.
However, economists and bankers donât think these funds can solve the issue.
âUnless the Chinese regime likes to spend all its money on the real estate market,â Cheng Xiaonong, a political and economics scholar who holds a Ph.D. in sociology from Princeton University, commented on July 24. Cheng didnât think the regime would spend its national treasure.
âOne fund canât solve the issue,â Zheng Yi, a former China investment banker, told The Epoch Times on July 21. âThe rotten tail buildings issue is an accumulated problem. It needs new policies and a large amount of funds to solve.â
Zheng said that developers purchase lands from a local government, sell the apartments to individuals, bribe the government officials and banks to make the projects progress smoothly, put the money into their own pockets, and then pays for the construction.
Residential buildings under construction in Yichang, Hubei Province, on Oct. 20, 2021. (STR/AFP via Getty Images)
The developers borrow from banks. At the same time, the buyers get mortgages from banks. With the loans and the sales income, the developers should have enough money to finish a project. However, they canât finish the project if they donât calculate and control the costs well. On the other hand, the banks that provide loans and mortgages are facing big risks when the project remains unfinished.
To solve the issue, the government has to use taxpayersâ money.
âThe government can only support a few developers that it wants to help,â Zheng said. âIt doesnât have the capacity to help all.â
Zheng believes there will be chain reactions. New buyers will only purchase from developers who received the government funds. The other developers will go bankrupt faster, which means they canât pay back their loans or finish all the projects. Then the banks have nothing to foreclose on and canât collect the loans and mortgages. The banks face the risk of bankruptcy and canât issue any more loans to the surviving developers.
âItâs hard to solve the issue,â Zheng said. âI think the worst problem in Chinaâs real estate industry is that the consumers and investors donât have confidence in the market.â
Market Confidence
Chinaâs property market has lacked buyers since the pandemic began. At the same time, more and more people try to sell their homes. To revitalize the market, the Chinese regime launched policies to either encoura